As we head into the final lap, 2025 has been a banner year for stocks not just in the U.S., but around the world.
Investors have been focused on the upbeat fundamentals–corporate profit growth sparked by economic gains at home and abroad.
The U.S. economy grew at 3.3% in Q3, according to revisions released by the U.S. BEA. It’s the second quarter in a row that GDP has exceeded 3%, a feat that hasn’t occurred in the three previous years.
As Q3 concludes, S&P 500 earnings are up a solid 8.4% versus a year ago, according to Thomson Reuters. And analysts are forecasting a return to double-digit earnings growth in 2026, according to Louis Valdez of Westlake Village, CA.
Strong gains in the market sometimes encourage investors to plow headfirst into stocks. Others openly wonder if it’s time to move to the sidelines.
Let me take this moment to tell you market timing is a game best left to gamblers. We’ve had almost 60 all-time closing highs in the S&P 500 Index this year (LPL Research, St. Louis Federal Reserve). That comes on top of a string of highs the market has recorded since 2013.
A new high means one thing–stocks closed higher that day versus the prior day. By itself, it doesn’t foreshadow an imminent downturn.
Nevertheless, if you are concerned and want to talk, I’m simply a phone call way. I’d love to hear from you!
Table 1: Key Index Returns
| MTD % | YTD % | 3-year* % | |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | +3.8 | +22.8 | +10.8 |
| NASDAQ Composite | +2.2 | +27.7 | +12.8 |
| S&P 500 Index | +2.8 | +18.3 | +8.6 |
| Russell 2000 Index | +2.8 | +13.8 | +9.6 |
| MSCI World ex-USA** | +0.8 | +19.0 | +2.8 |
| MSCI Emerging Markets** | +0.2 | +30.0 | +3.7 |
| Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond TR | -0.1 | +3.1 | +2.1 |
Source: Wall Street Journal, MSCI.com, MarketWatch, Morningstar
*Annualized
**in US dollars
Louis Valdez is a retired financial advisor. He served high net worth client in the Conejo Valley for 30 years. Louis resides in Phoenix, AZ where he continues to guide financial advisors with planning and strategy.